WILLIAMSPORT — A Republican challenger is in a dead heat with a two-term incumbent Democrat in the race for the 10th Congressional District.
U.S. Rep. Chris Carney holds a 43 to 40 percent edge over Tom Marino in the Lycoming College telephone poll, conducted Sept. 26-30. Given the margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percent, they “are statistically tied,” said Jonathan Williamson, chairman of the political science department at Lycoming.
Sixteen percent of the 370 people who responded to political science students’ questions were undecided as to how they would vote Nov. 2.
Carney leads in the favorable to unfavorable category, 51 percent to 37 percent, according to the survey conducted by the Lycoming College Polling Institute, a part of the school’s Center for the Study of Community and the Economy.
Even though Carney has a slight lead, the race is about even.
“The poll results fall well within the survey’s margin of error,” Williamson, director of the center, said.
Jason Fitzgerald, campaign manager for Marino, said Tuesday he was thrilled to see poll results.
“This is more good news for the Marino campaign because it shows Carney is under 50 percent and that is not a good place for an incumbent be,” Fitzgerald said. “He spent well over a half-million (dollars) trashing Marino and his campaign still hasn’t gained traction.”
Fitzgerald said the poll proves voters of the 10th District are fed up with the incumbent.
“The people of the district don’t agree with the fact Carney votes with Nancy Pelosi, and the Obama care,” Fitzgerald said. “He is out of touch with the voters and his negative campaign isn’t working. Tom Marino will win this election.”
Carney received support from 86 percent of Democrats, 42 percent of independents and 13 percent of Republicans, while Marino had 69 percent of Republicans, 40 percent of independents and 4 percent of Democrats.
“Carney’s votes for important portions of the Democratic legislative agenda appear to have eroded some of his support in this Republican-leaning district when compared to his 12-more point victory two years ago,” Williamson said.
“His support among the district’s independents is down about 10 percentage points compared to similar polling we conducted two years ago.”
Josh Drobnyk, spokesman for Carney, said he was happy with the polling.
“This poll confirms what we are seeing. Chris Carney is viewed much more favorably by voters throughout the district and does better than Tom Marino across party lines,” Drobnyk said Tuesday. “What the poll doesn’t account for is the news over the weekend that Tom Marino was actually under investigation by the Justice Department for serious abuses of his authority at the time of his 2007 resignation as U.S. attorney. Every day seems to bring further news of Marino’s failed ethics and the latest revelation makes clear why he has continued to hide the truth from the people of the 10th District.”
— E-mail comments to fscarcella@dailyitem.com
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Lycoming poll shows Carney, Marino in dead heat
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